Iulian Ion

Sense of Uncertainty, Sense of Control, and Sensing the Future: Notes on Prediction Markets

By Iulian Ion Illustration by Madelene Nitzsche In the early hours of February 28th, the US and Israel carried out air strikes on hundreds of sites across Iran. In the weeks since, I have made several unsuccessful attempts at writing a summary of the war as an introduction to this article. I would write one…